Automation Could Wipe Out Almost Half of All Jobs in 20 Years


Automation, robots and globalisation are rapidly changing the workplace and governments must act quickly and decisively to counter the effects or face a worsening of social and economic tensions, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) warned.

Almost half of all jobs could be wiped out or radically altered in the next two decades due to automation, the OECD said in its latest report released this week. According to its labour director Stefano Scarpetta, the pace of change will be “startling”.

Safety nets and training systems built up over decades to protect workers are struggling to keep up with the “megatrends” changing the nature of work, the OECD said. While some workers will benefit as technology opens new markets and increases productivity, young, low-skilled, part-time and gig-economy workers are vulnerable.

A gig-economy is characterised by the prevalence of short-term contracts or freelance work.

“Deep and rapid structural changes are on the horizon, bringing with them major new opportunities but also greater uncertainty among those who are not well equipped to grasp them,” said Mr Scarpetta.

The report is the latest OECD warning about risks to governments in advanced economies, which have already manifested themselves in a surge of support for populist political leaders.

The organisation has highlighted a squeeze on the middle class, future jobs losses from technology and a widespread dissatisfaction in rich countries.

Changes in employment will hit some workers more than others – particularly young people with lower levels of education and women who are more likely to be under-employed and working in low-paid jobs, the OECD said.

It recommends more training and urged governments to extend protections to workers in the “grey zone”, where a blurring of employment and self-employment often comes with a lack of rights.

It also added that union membership has fallen by almost half in the past three decades and one in seven workers globally is self-employed while six out of ten lack basic IT skills.